Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
AMO
0 - 0
SPB
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SPB
4 - 2
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
85%
10%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPB
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
SPB
0 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
ACA
0 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
BOA
4 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ACA
3 - 1
ESP
53%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
ACA
0 - 2
BEL
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |