Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
FAB
4 - 1
SPB
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEX
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 2
SCP
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
LGC
2 - 0
SPB
48%
24%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
TOR
0 - 3
ACA
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 2
FAB
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ACA
5 - 3
LEX
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
SCP
2 - 4
ACA
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
ACA
3 - 0
LGC
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |