Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
FAB
2 - 0
SPB
55%
22%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
SPB
0 - 0
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
SPC
1 - 0
SPB
57%
21%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
SPB
0 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
BOA
0 - 0
SPB
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
77%
14%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ACA
8 - 1
LEX
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
23%
22%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |