Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CAL
2 - 2
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
FAB
3 - 1
SPB
58%
21%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SPB
0 - 0
SCP
29%
23%
47%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 1
SPB
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
ACA
3 - 2
FCB
60%
20%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 1
ACA
61%
21%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ACA
5 - 0
TOR
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |