Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
90%
7%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCB
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
LGC
4 - 1
SPB
61%
18%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SPB
0 - 4
LGC
43%
22%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
VIT
3 - 2
SPB
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 1
LGC
53%
21%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
90%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
30%
21%
49%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ACA
0 - 1
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |