Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.4%
12.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1943 |
LIS
4 - 0
SPB
27%
22%
51%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | -2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 3
OLH
47%
20%
33%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
OLH
12 - 0
ACA
64%
16%
19%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1947 |
EST
6 - 1
ACA
77%
12%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |