Braga U23 vs Estrela Amadora U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Draw
0-0
31.9%
0
31.9%
68.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
36.5%
-1
36.5%
0-2
20.8%
-2
20.8%
0-3
7.9%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-38%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 15 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0% | 0% |
|
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braga U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
BES
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
GIL
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
LEX
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 3
GIL
40%
23%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VIZ
0 - 1
BRA
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
EST
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
VIZ
3 - 2
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
FAM
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 2
EST
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |