Sporting Braga II vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
4º
28
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 3
VIA
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 0
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
57%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 0
VAR
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAN
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
OSL
2 - 2
VAR
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |