Sporting Braga II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 0
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
EST
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
BRA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
BRA
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
TRO
4 - 3
BRA
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FAM
2 - 0
PEN
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 2
ARO
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 0
PEN
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |