Sporting Braga II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
LEX
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 3
TON
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 2
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 0
BRA
62%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
POR
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FEI
0 - 0
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
SCF
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
PEN
33%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |