Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
4º
3º
23
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 3
BRA
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALV
41%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEL
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |