Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
ANA
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PEV
0 - 1
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
FEL
0 - 1
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
PEV
0 - 1
LUS
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
FEL
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUS
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LUS
3 - 1
FAF
37%
28%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
LUS
42%
27%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |