Sporting Braga II vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
4º
3º
30
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAF
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 3
FEL
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 0
ANA
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 3
ALV
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SCP
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
1DE
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALV
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 2
SPC
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |