FC Boavista vs Derby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SBV
0 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
SBV
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
SBV
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SBV
2 - 1
CFS
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SBV
3 - 0
FCU
63%
18%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
DER
4 - 1
ACA
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
DER
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
SBV
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 2
DER
39%
21%
39%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
CFS
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |