Sporting Ben Arous vs Etoile Metlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
75.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
LAN
0 - 2
SPO
49%
27%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
ESH
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
STA
0 - 0
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
JEN
2 - 0
SPO
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
MBO
43%
29%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
CLU
3 - 1
ETO
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
TAT
3 - 1
ETO
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 1
CAB
30%
30%
40%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 2
STA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 0
JSK
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |