Sporting Ben Arous vs CA Bizertin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
65%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
USM
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
ESB
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ODK
3 - 1
SPO
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 0
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SNA
1 - 1
SPO
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAB
2 - 1
JSK
40%
30%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAB
0 - 1
CSS
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAB
51%
29%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ETO
5 - 1
CAB
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 1
ZAR
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |