Bellinzago vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellinzago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
SES
27%
23%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VFC
1 - 2
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
4 - 0
ACQ
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SET
1 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
VOG
0 - 2
CHI
38%
26%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 1
VOG
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VOG
1 - 2
ASD
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 0
VOG
39%
25%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VOG
2 - 1
RAB
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |