Bellinzago vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellinzago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LAV
2 - 0
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 0
BEL
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
BEL
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
PIN
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 4
CHI
26%
26%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
ARG
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASD
2 - 3
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
RAB
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FEZ
0 - 3
DER
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |