Sporting de Alcazar vs Villa CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting de Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ADS
4 - 4
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 1
AZU
49%
25%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CFA
0 - 0
ALC
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 1
HAL
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALC
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villa CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 1
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAD
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
QUI
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ADS
2 - 1
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |