Siegen Sportfreunde vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 1
RWA
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 3
SPO
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
VIK
0 - 3
SPO
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 1
SPO
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 2
DOR
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 3
VFB
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 1
VFB
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 2
SCH
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BER
6 - 0
VFB
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |