Siegen Sportfreunde vs TuS Bovinghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
18º
17º
56
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
SCH
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 2
SPO
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
1 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 0
ERN
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TVC
3 - 0
SPO
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Bovinghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TUS
4 - 0
ASC
53%
20%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
TUS
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
TUS
2 - 0
HSC
68%
17%
14%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TUS
2 - 1
SCH
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TUS
3 - 1
ERH
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |