Siegen Sportfreunde vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
18º
17º
60
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ERH
2 - 0
SPO
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
WER
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GIE
1 - 1
SPO
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 2
GUT
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SFB
2 - 1
SPO
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
4 - 0
SVR
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ERN
3 - 2
SPO
18%
20%
63%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
TVC
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DSC
2 - 3
SPO
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
4 - 1
SPR
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |