Siegen Sportfreunde vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
STU
0 - 0
SPO
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
SPO
0 - 0
PFU
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
HOF
2 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 0
AUG
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
ELV
0 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
MAI
0 - 3
BAY
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
VFR
3 - 2
MAI
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 0
SAA
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
MAI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MAI
0 - 2
ERF
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |