Siegen Sportfreunde vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
AUG
0 - 2
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SPO
0 - 2
ELV
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ESC
1 - 1
SPO
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
SPO
0 - 2
OFC
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
KAI
2 - 0
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
KSC
1 - 0
SGF
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SGF
2 - 0
RWA
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
3 - 1
SGF
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SGF
1 - 1
OSN
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 1
SGF
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |