Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hammer SpVg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
RWA
1 - 1
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 1
LIP
49%
23%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
DSC
1 - 1
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SPO
3 - 4
GUT
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
VER
1 - 0
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
LIP
4 - 1
HAM
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
HAM
0 - 4
GUT
21%
24%
55%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
WAT
2 - 2
HAM
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
HAM
4 - 1
S04
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +6 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ERH
0 - 1
HAM
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |