Sportfreunde Lotte vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
SPO
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
S04
2 - 2
SPO
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
IDA
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
HOM
1 - 2
SPO
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KÖL
2 - 2
BAY
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 1
KÖL
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 0
WUP
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 3
KÖL
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |