Sportfreunde Lotte vs VfB Fichte Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
HAS
1 - 3
SPO
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 1
ERK
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
RWA
2 - 1
SPO
36%
24%
39%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 0
SPR
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LIP
1 - 1
SPO
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Fichte Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ERH
0 - 2
FBI
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FBI
1 - 0
VER
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
HAS
1 - 6
FBI
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
FBI
2 - 2
KOR
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ERK
2 - 2
FBI
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |