Sportfreunde Lotte vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
RWA
2 - 1
SPO
36%
24%
39%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 0
SPR
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LIP
1 - 1
SPO
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 1
SVE
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
GUT
0 - 0
SPO
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ERK
1 - 0
SCH
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ERH
5 - 0
ERK
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ERK
2 - 2
FBI
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
HAS
0 - 0
ERK
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ERK
1 - 1
KOR
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |