Sportfreunde Lotte vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
PRE
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
WWO
3 - 2
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
CLO
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
EIN
0 - 2
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 3
DIE
36%
25%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 1
RTV
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
RTV
2 - 0
EIN
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
HSV
3 - 1
RTV
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
RTV
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
RTV
0 - 2
HAN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |