Sport Victoria vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
UNI
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 3
SPO
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALF
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 2
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SBO
2 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SBO
6 - 0
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
WIL
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
LOS
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 1
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |