Sport Victoria vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
SBO
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
2 - 1
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 1
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
WIL
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 0
LOS
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
WIL
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 1
WIL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |