Sport Victoria vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAN
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SBO
2 - 2
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOS
3 - 0
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LOS
3 - 2
AUN
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 2
AUN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AUN
1 - 2
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SBO
1 - 1
AUN
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |