Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/32
Global 0-2
Sport Rosario vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
4 - 0
UTC
52%
28%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 1
SRP
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
1 - 1
UNI
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SRP
2 - 0
AUR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 4
SRP
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
LFC
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 1
CER
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CER
0 - 4
PEÑ
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
CER
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |