Sport Recife vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
4 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
PAL
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATP
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 0
SPO
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 1
FFL
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRE
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |