Sport Recife vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 2
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAL
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
4DE
0 - 2
SPO
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SPO
8%
16%
76%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
SER
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |