Sport Recife vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 1
PPE
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
SPO
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
POR
5 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
LOJ
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
FFL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 2
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |