Sport Recife vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
SPO
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
FFL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
UCH
0 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 3
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |