Sport Recife vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 1
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
PET
0 - 0
SPO
5%
15%
80%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 0
AFO
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
SED
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOT
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |