Copa do Nordeste Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Sport Recife vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 1
SPO
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 2
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 1
JEC
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 4
SAN
6%
15%
79%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |