Sport Recife vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
SPO
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 2
SPO
8%
17%
75%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
AME
84%
13%
3%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
SAN
18%
23%
60%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAH
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 2
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |