Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-2
Sport Recife vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 2
SPO
14%
23%
63%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPO
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
PET
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
SPO
10%
18%
72%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPO
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 0
IAP
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
IMP
3 - 1
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 0
VIA
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |