Pernambucano 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Sport Recife vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 0
SPO
15%
23%
62%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
CEN
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
BAH
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
FLA
14%
23%
64%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 0
SPO
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
NAU
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 5
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAL
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |