Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-6
Sport Recife vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
SPO
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 1
SPO
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
5 - 0
SER
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 2
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAY
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 1
SPO
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
REC
0 - 1
PAY
24%
23%
53%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 2
IAC
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
REM
0 - 0
PAY
41%
24%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |