Pernambucano 1 Final
Global 3-0
Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEA
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SER
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAU
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
NAU
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |