Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 2
AVA
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 0
SPO
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 1
BRU
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COT
0 - 1
SPO
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
VAS
3 - 3
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 1
FOR
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
FOR
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |