Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
SPO
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 2
SPO
8%
17%
75%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
AME
84%
13%
3%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PPE
0 - 1
SPO
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
RIV
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FOR
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
MAR
82%
14%
4%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |