Sport Recife vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
8%
16%
77%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 1
SPO
6%
15%
80%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
PES
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 0
SPO
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
AFO
91%
8%
2%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 2
FER
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
4 - 1
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |