Sport Recife vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
COT
2 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
PPE
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 3
SPO
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 5
SPO
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 1
DUQ
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
DUQ
3 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAH
0 - 1
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 1
ARN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |