Sport Recife vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 2
SPO
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
CRZ
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 1
SPO
62%
24%
15%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
COT
1 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
COT
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COT
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |