Copa do Brasil Final
Global 3-3
Sport Recife vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
COR
3 - 1
SPO
53%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 1
SPO
55%
26%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
VAS
2 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 1
FLU
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
GRÊ
1 - 4
COR
27%
26%
48%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
COR
3 - 1
SPO
53%
25%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
COR
2 - 0
FOR
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
COR
2 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ABC
0 - 1
COR
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | +1 |